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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
48.51% | 26.13% | 25.35% |
Both teams to score 48.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.15% | 54.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.85% | 76.15% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% | 22.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.74% | 56.26% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% | 36.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% | 73.72% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
4 | Southampton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 24 |
5 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Hull City | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
11 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
14 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
16 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
18 | Millwall | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 15 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |
22 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 3 |
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