Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
