Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
