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Real Betis logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Osauna logo
Real Betis
4 - 1
Osasuna
Juanmi (34', 45+1'), Carvalho (82'), Moreno (88')
Carvalho (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Budimir (65')
Angel (81'), Garcia (87'), Avila (90')

Preview: Real Betis vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Upon their return from the international break, Real Betis will look to boost their claim for a spot in the top four of the La Liga table on Sunday, when they host Osasuna.

Los Verdiblancos remain fifth after a disappointing draw before the layoff, while their visitors have climbed into the top half thanks to an impressive run of form.


Match preview

Real Betis' coach Manuel Pellegrini on March 17, 2022© Reuters

After establishing themselves in the top three of the La Liga table with 46 points from 25 games, Real Betis have experienced a slight dip in form recently.

The start of that did come in line with a tough schedule, though, as back-to-back victories were firstly followed by a 2-1 defeat to second-placed Sevilla.

Manuel Pellegrini's side then fell to a 3-1 loss at the hands of Atletico Madrid, as Cristian Tello's equaliser was followed by goals from Joao Felix and Thomas Lemar for the away team, seeing Real Betis fall behind Los Colchoneros and outside of the top four as a result.

That was followed by an exit from the Europa League as they were narrowly beaten by Eintracht Frankfurt, and, while they were able to return to winning ways with a 1-0 league win over Athletic Bilbao, thanks to Borja Iglesias's goal, Los Verdiblancos headed into the break on the back of a goalless stalemate with Celta Vigo.

As a result of that underwhelming result, the gap between Pellegrini's side and Atletico Madrid stretched to four points with nine league matches to go, and they will know they have little more room for error if they are to stand a chance of taking a top-four spot.

Osasuna coach Jagoba Arrasate reacts on February 19, 2022© Reuters

In their bid to return to winning ways, the Sevilla outfit play host to an Osasuna team who have enjoyed a slight improvement recently.

After consecutive defeats in tough clashes with Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, Jagoba Arrasate's men have won two of their last three outings, firstly beating seventh-placed Villarreal 1-0 thanks to Ezequiel Avila's second-half goal.

While they went on to be thrashed by a resurgent Barcelona side, Los Rojillos bounced back in style in their most recent outing, comfortably beating Levante 3-1 with Avila, Ante Budimir and Darko Brasanac on the scoresheet before the visitors clinched a consolation goal.

On the back of their recent upturn in form, Arrasate's side have climbed back up to 10th spot in the Spanish top flight, and they will now aim to keep hold of their top-half position in the final nine games of the term.

Real Betis La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Real Betis form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Osasuna La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Real Betis' Borja Iglesias celebrates scoring their first goal with Marc Bartra on March 17, 2022© Reuters

Real Betis have an unenviable list of injuries to deal with, as Martin Montoya, Victor Camarasa, Andres Guardado and Cristian Tello are all set to continue spells on the sidelines.

Meanwhile, key attacker Nabil Fekir, who has contributed 10 goals and eight assists in all competitions this season, will again miss out due to a suspension alongside centre-back German Pezzella, who was shown a fifth yellow card of the season in the draw with Celta Vigo.

In Fekir's absence, more attacking responsibility will fall on Borja Iglesias, who has eight goals to his name in 25 La Liga appearances this term, while Victor Ruiz will likely slot in alongside Marc Bartra at the heart of the back four.

Following their 3-1 victory before the break, Osasuna could come into the weekend with an unchanged starting XI, with Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torro and Darko Brasanac forming an established midfield trio.

Ante Budimir will continue to lead their line after hitting his third league goal of the season in that contest.

Real Betis possible starting lineup:
Bravo; Bellerin, Bartra, Ruiz, Miranda; Rodriguez, Carvalho; Juanmi, Rodri, Canales; Iglesias

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, D Garcia, Cruz, Sanchez; Moncayola, Torro, Brasanac; Avila, Budimir, R Garcia


SM words green background

We say: Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna

While they saw their form take a dip early in March, Real Betis still boast the quality to outclass their opponents at the weekend and will be set on making a return to winning ways.

We ultimately predict a home victory for Los Verdiblancos, albeit a hard-fought one.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Betis vs Osasuna

Real Betis
83.6%
Draw
9.6%
Osasuna
6.8%
73
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Barcelona coach Xavi during the match on March 10, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid119112381528
2GironaGirona1191125131228
3Barcelona1173123121124
4Atletico MadridAtletico97112381522
5Real Sociedad105321812618
6Athletic Bilbao105231610617
7Rayo Vallecano104421213-116
8Valencia104241211114
9Real BetisBetis103521214-214
10Las PalmasLas Palmas11425810-214
11Osasuna104151114-313
12Getafe112631316-312
13Sevilla102441615110
14CadizCadiz112451016-610
15Villarreal102351216-49
16Mallorca111641216-49
17AlavesAlaves10235814-69
18Celta Vigo111371019-96
19Granada101361525-106
20Almeria110381431-173

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