Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.