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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz
2 - 1
Hartberg
Jatta (13'), Prass (42')
Ilzer (17'), Kiteishvili (61'), Serrano (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lang (4')
Heil (16'), Prokop (72'), Sangare (73'), Kainz (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-0 Swarovski
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
51.44% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 23.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)45.31% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (-0.058 -0.06)67.65% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.25% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)32.17% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.12 -0.12)68.66% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 51.44%
    Hartberg 24.87%
    Draw 23.69%
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.87%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz118302071327
2Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg128222781926
3LASK LinzLASK11632147721
4Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt125611913621
5Hartberg114431616016
6Rapid Vienna1135322121014
7Wolfsberger123541519-414
8Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach12345915-613
9BW Linz123451323-1013
10Austria ViennaAustria Vienna113351213-112
11WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski121291025-155
12Austria Lustenau11038524-193

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