Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
43.12% | 26.1% | 30.78% |
Both teams to score 52.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% | 51.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% | 73.52% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% | 23.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% | 58.02% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% | 31.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% | 67.36% |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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