Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 0-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
