Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
