Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
