Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
