Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
