Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
