Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
