Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
