Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
