Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
