Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
