Penarol
5 - 2
Boston River
Alvarez (17', 86'), Torres (26'), Ceppelini (65' pen.), Trindade (90+3')
Kagelmacher (73'), Ceppelini (84'), Canobbio (90+4')
Kagelmacher (73'), Ceppelini (84'), Canobbio (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nadruz (45'), Bentancourt (56')
Fernandez (10'), Rodriguez (27'), Alberti (62'), Freitas (63'), Falcon (64'), Nadruz (90+1')
Fernandez (10'), Rodriguez (27'), Alberti (62'), Freitas (63'), Falcon (64'), Nadruz (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Boston River.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Boston River |
| 61.47% | 22.09% | 16.44% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
