MX23RW : Monday, February 20 23:20:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Feb 7, 2021 at 12.45am UK at Estadio Complejo Rentistas
Boston River
1 - 2
Penarol
Bentancourt (65')
Bentancourt (73'), Alvarez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Estoyanoff (50'), A (56')
Abascal (26'), Gonzalez (49'), A (58'), Kagelmacher (58')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawPenarol
20.33%25.59%54.08%
Both teams to score 44.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74%57.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.54%79.46%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87%54.13%
Score Analysis
    Boston River 20.33%
    Penarol 54.08%
    Draw 25.59%
Boston RiverDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 5.01%
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.33%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 14.21%
0-2 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-3 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-4 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.08%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2020 10.30pm
Penarol
2-0
Boston River
Terans (41'), A (82')
Alvarez (37'), Gonzalez (88')

Lozano (15'), Arias (58'), (90+3')
Aug 16, 2020 9.30pm
Penarol
2-0
Boston River
Torres (51'), Terans (65')
Kagelmacher (26')

Bentancourt (26'), Flores (34'), Fratta (55'), Alberti (64')
Oct 20, 2019 10pm
Penarol
1-0
Boston River
Rodriguez (60')
Abascal (33'), De Los Santos (41'), Gonzalez (69')

Arias (14'), Fernandez (15'), Rodriguez (35'), Fratta (69')
Jul 14, 2019 10pm
Penarol
4-0
Boston River
Rodriguez (11'), Nunez (20', 67', 84')
Rodriguez (15'), Formiliano (50')

Daniel Arias Fierro (34'), Valdez (48'), Fratta (58')
Mar 30, 2019 10pm
Boston River
0-4
Penarol

Gurri (58')
Acevedo (47', 88'), Viatri (64'), Rodriguez (85')
Lores (57'), Acevedo (70'), Martinez (90')
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