Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.