Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.