Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.