Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
