Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
