Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
21.6% | 23.07% | 55.33% |
Both teams to score 53.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% | 46.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% | 68.33% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% | 35.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.76% | 72.24% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% | 16.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% | 46.2% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.71% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
> Full Version |