Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
34.88% | 26.95% | 38.17% |
Both teams to score 50.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.76% | 54.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.36% | 75.64% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% | 29.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% | 65.6% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% | 27.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.87% | 63.13% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
4 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 6 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Vizela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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