Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
32.01% | 27.38% | 40.61% |
Both teams to score 49.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.58% | 56.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.57% | 77.43% |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% | 32.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% | 69.12% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% | 27.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% | 62.69% |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
2 | Notts County | 37 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 93 | 34 | 59 | 87 |
3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Chesterfield | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 62 |
5 | Eastleigh | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 60 |
6 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 55 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 53 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 43 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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