Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
53.47% | 23.1% | 23.42% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.87% | 44.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.49% | 66.5% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% | 16.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% | 46.16% |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% | 32.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% | 69.31% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
2 | Notts County | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 96 | 35 | 61 | 90 |
3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Chesterfield | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 65 |
5 | Barnet | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 62 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 61 |
7 | Eastleigh | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 60 |
8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 55 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 49 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 44 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 40 |
18 | York City | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 37 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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