Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
