Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
