Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
41.99% | 28.1% | 29.91% |
Both teams to score 46.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.39% | 59.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.06% | 79.94% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% | 28.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% | 63.66% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.2% | 35.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.43% | 72.57% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 |
6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
R | Angers | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 77 | -48 | 14 |
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