Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Lille had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lille |
46.92% | 25.34% | 27.73% |
Both teams to score 53.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% | 50.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% | 72.12% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.63% | 54.37% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% | 32.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.02% | 68.98% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 |
6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
R | Angers | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 77 | -48 | 14 |
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