Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.