Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match.