Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
