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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
40.4% | 25.89% | 33.7% |
Both teams to score 54.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.95% | 50.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.98% | 72.02% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% | 24.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% | 58.89% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% | 28.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% | 63.97% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 80 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 70 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 69 |
4 | Stevenage | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 69 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 67 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 |
8 | Salford City | 40 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 63 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 58 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 40 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 50 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 48 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47 |
18 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 39 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 38 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 32 |
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