Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
