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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
26.7% | 25.53% | 47.77% |
Both teams to score 51.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% | 51.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% | 73.38% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.97% | 34.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.29% | 70.71% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% | 21.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.29% | 54.71% |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.7% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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