Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sittard
1 - 2
AZ
We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-4 AZ Alkmaar
It is hard to see past anything other than an AZ Alkmaar victory in this particular match, with the squad being far stronger and the club having a lot more momentum. Fortuna Sittard might have the home advantage here, but the number of goals they are leaking in throughout the season will continue to plague them here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 23.35% | 23.79% | 52.86% |
| Both teams to score 53.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
