Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
