Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
