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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
31.45% | 28.32% | 40.22% |
Both teams to score 46.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.05% | 59.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.8% | 80.2% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% | 34.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% | 71.56% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% | 29.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% | 65.1% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 65 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 48 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
5 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 44 |
8 | Millwall | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 43 |
9 | Sunderland | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 42 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Hull City | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 39 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
17 | Reading | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 38 |
18 | Bristol City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 36 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 33 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 29 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
23 | Blackpool | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 26 |
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