Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
