Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
