Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.