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Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park
Larne
4 - 1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48'), Gordon (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Lowry (90+2')
Barr (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Larne
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Crusaders
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
45.69% (1.775 1.78) 26.4% (-0.154 -0.15) 27.91% (-1.619 -1.62)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (-0.196 -0.2)54.28% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.164 -0.16)75.67% (0.166 0.17)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.773 0.77)23.7% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (1.102 1.1)57.82% (-1.099 -1.1)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-1.345 -1.35)34.5% (1.347 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-1.459 -1.46)71.22% (1.461 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Larne 45.69%
    Crusaders 27.91%
    Draw 26.39%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.91%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
1-0
Larne
Lecky (16')
McMurray (13'), Joe Burns (13'), Robinson (61'), Lecky (72'), Larmour (73')

Mitchell (13'), Bolger (61'), Randall (66'), McDaid (73'), Cosgrove (88'), Hughes (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield24192356253159
2LarneLarne25177150163458
3CliftonvilleCliftonville23163453143951
4CrusadersCrusaders25125843281541
5GlentoranGlentoran23115741241738
6ColeraineColeraine2485113243-1129
7Loughgall2484123847-928
8Carrick RangersCarrick2483133052-2227
9GlenavonGlenavon2482142843-1526
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2456133949-1021
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena2453161541-2618
12Newry City AFC2433181760-4312

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