Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.96%) and 0-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.