Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
