Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.77%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Banfield win was 0-1 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
